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Tarleton State Texans 78, Abilene Christian Wildcats 84

NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: Abilene Christian Wildcats

Abilene Christian Wildcats defeated Tarleton State Texans 84–78 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 13:23 swung win probability 58% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tarleton State Texans lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Tarleton State Texans255378
Abilene Christian Wildcats394584

Win probability

Abilene Christian Wildcats win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Abilene Christian Wildcats) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 13:23 swung win probability 58% → 88%.
Why Tarleton State Texans lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Abilene Christian Wildcats10–0H1 13:2358% → 88%

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