Georgia State Panthers 75, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 84
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns defeated Georgia State Panthers 84–75 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 15:26 swung win probability 34% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Georgia State Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | 38 | 37 | 75 |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 36 | 48 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at H2 15:26 swung win probability 34% → 91%.
Why Georgia State Panthers lost
- Lost H2 37-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H1 6:18 (win probability 32% → 82% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 14-9.
- Outscored 26-18 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 8–0 | H1 15:40 | 55% → 81% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 13–0 | H1 6:18 | 32% → 82% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 13–0 | H2 15:26 | 34% → 91% |