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South Dakota State Jackrabbits 67, St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies 80

NCAA Men's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies defeated South Dakota State Jackrabbits 80–67 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:04 swung win probability 36% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
South Dakota State Jackrabbits373067
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies394180

Win probability

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 0:04 swung win probability 36% → 77%.
Why South Dakota State Jackrabbits lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies9–0H1 6:4731% → 68%
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies9–0H1 0:0436% → 77%
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies8–0H2 16:4358% → 91%

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