Nicholls Colonels 68, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros defeated Nicholls Colonels 86–68 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:07 swung win probability 92% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 32 | 36 | 68 |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 44 | 42 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:07 swung win probability 92% → 56%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost H1 32-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 15:41 (win probability 55% → 90% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 12–0 | H1 15:41 | 55% → 90% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 12–0 | H1 8:07 | 92% → 56% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 8–0 | H1 3:55 | 68% → 92% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 9–0 | H2 11:21 | 100% → 100% |