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Nicholls Colonels 68, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 86

NCAA Men's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros defeated Nicholls Colonels 86–68 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 18-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:07 swung win probability 92% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
Nicholls Colonels323668
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros444286

Win probability

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 8:07 swung win probability 92% → 56%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros12–0H1 15:4155% → 90%
Nicholls Colonels12–0H1 8:0792% → 56%
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros8–0H1 3:5568% → 92%
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros9–0H2 11:21100% → 100%

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