Western Carolina Catamounts 77, Mercer Bears 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Western Carolina Catamounts
Western Carolina Catamounts defeated Mercer Bears 77–73 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 7:05 swung win probability 96% → 47%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 36 | 41 | 77 |
| Mercer Bears | 35 | 38 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 7:05 swung win probability 96% → 47%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 7:05 (win probability 96% → 47% for the home side).
- Shot 48.4% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 25-11.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 8–0 | H1 13:47 | 78% → 94% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 8–0 | H1 7:06 | 98% → 90% |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 10–0 | H2 7:05 | 96% → 47% |