Vanderbilt Commodores 75, Arkansas Razorbacks 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-15 · Winner: Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks defeated Vanderbilt Commodores 86–75 on 2026-03-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 11-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 11:18 swung win probability 24% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Vanderbilt Commodores lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 39 | 36 | 75 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 41 | 45 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 11:18 swung win probability 24% → 85%.
Why Vanderbilt Commodores lost
- Lost H2 36-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 0:41 (win probability 77% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 45.5% eFG vs a 55.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 11–0 | H2 11:18 | 24% → 85% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 12–0 | H2 0:41 | 77% → 100% |