Kentucky Wildcats 78, Missouri Tigers 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats defeated Missouri Tigers 78–72 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:04 swung win probability 61% → 25%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri Tigers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| Missouri Tigers | 29 | 43 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H1 5:04 swung win probability 61% → 25%.
Why Missouri Tigers lost
- Lost H1 29-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 5:04 (win probability 61% → 25% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-9.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 8–0 | H1 5:04 | 61% → 25% |