Holy Cross Crusaders 82, Lafayette Leopards 77
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Holy Cross Crusaders
Holy Cross Crusaders defeated Lafayette Leopards 82–77 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 15:05 swung win probability 58% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| Lafayette Leopards | 39 | 38 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 15:05 swung win probability 58% → 12%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost H2 38-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 15:05 (win probability 58% → 12% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 8-2.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 9–0 | H1 6:47 | 61% → 90% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 9–0 | H2 15:05 | 58% → 12% |