Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 61, Mercyhurst Lakers 70
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 70–61 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 7:11 swung win probability 98% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fairleigh Dickinson Knights lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 35 | 35 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 7:11 swung win probability 98% → 72%.
Why Fairleigh Dickinson Knights lost
- Lost H1 28-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 13:32 (win probability 66% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 43.5% eFG vs a 48.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 9–0 | H1 13:32 | 66% → 90% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 9–0 | H1 0:59 | 96% → 77% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 8–0 | H2 12:28 | 98% → 84% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 8–0 | H2 7:11 | 98% → 72% |