Nevada Wolf Pack 84, Grand Canyon Lopes 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 84–80 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 17:40 swung win probability 89% → 48%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 34 | 50 | 84 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 40 | 40 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H2 17:40 swung win probability 89% → 48%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost H2 40-50 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 17:40 (win probability 89% → 48% for the home side).
- Outscored 36-27 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | H1 6:54 | 65% → 90% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 10–0 | H2 17:40 | 89% → 48% |