UNLV Rebels 60, Utah State Aggies 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies defeated UNLV Rebels 80–60 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 7:38 swung win probability 48% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNLV Rebels lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Rebels | 23 | 37 | 60 |
| Utah State Aggies | 37 | 43 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 7:38 swung win probability 48% → 79%.
Why UNLV Rebels lost
- Lost H1 23-37 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 1:46 (win probability 68% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 48.1% eFG vs a 53.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 8–0 | H1 7:38 | 48% → 79% |
| Utah State Aggies | 10–0 | H1 1:46 | 68% → 96% |