Air Force Falcons 45, Nevada Wolf Pack 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Air Force Falcons 80–45 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 35-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 16:08 swung win probability 69% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 10 | 35 | 45 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 39 | 41 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 16:08 swung win probability 69% → 94%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost H1 10-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at H1 4:20 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.8% eFG vs a 48.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Outscored 23-11 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 11–0 | H1 16:08 | 69% → 94% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 16–0 | H1 4:20 | 93% → 100% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | H2 17:07 | 100% → 100% |
| Air Force Falcons | 9–0 | H2 0:48 | 100% → 100% |