Fairfield Stags 61, Siena Saints 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-08 · Winner: Siena Saints
Siena Saints defeated Fairfield Stags 76–61 on 2026-03-08 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 9:44 swung win probability 61% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fairfield Stags lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 30 | 31 | 61 |
| Siena Saints | 40 | 36 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 9:44 swung win probability 61% → 92%.
Why Fairfield Stags lost
- Lost H1 30-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 9:44 (win probability 61% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 19-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 11–0 | H1 9:44 | 61% → 92% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | H2 13:29 | 98% → 79% |
| Siena Saints | 10–0 | H2 6:27 | 86% → 100% |
| Siena Saints | 8–0 | H2 0:15 | 100% → 100% |