Missouri State Bears 77, Liberty Flames 69
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears defeated Liberty Flames 77–69 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at H2 9:55 swung win probability 92% → 13%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Liberty Flames lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Bears | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| Liberty Flames | 37 | 32 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at H2 9:55 swung win probability 92% → 13%.
Why Liberty Flames lost
- Lost H2 32-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at H2 9:55 (win probability 92% → 13% for the home side).
- Shot 50.0% eFG vs a 60.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | 14–0 | H1 7:37 | 45% → 91% |
| Missouri State Bears | 15–0 | H2 9:55 | 92% → 13% |