UC Davis Aggies 70, Cal State Fullerton Titans 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Cal State Fullerton Titans
Cal State Fullerton Titans defeated UC Davis Aggies 82–70 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:03 swung win probability 47% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 26 | 44 | 70 |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 38 | 44 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:03 swung win probability 47% → 80%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Lost H1 26-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 1:02 (win probability 86% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 41.4% eFG vs a 52.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 38-17 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 8–0 | H1 4:03 | 47% → 80% |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 8–0 | H1 2:44 | 68% → 93% |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 9–0 | H1 1:02 | 86% → 99% |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 9–0 | H2 6:33 | 99% → 100% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 11–0 | H2 3:08 | 100% → 100% |