Cal Poly Mustangs 69, UC San Diego Tritons 72
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 72–69 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 9:18 swung win probability 31% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 26 | 46 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 9:18 swung win probability 31% → 82%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost H2 34-46 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 9:18 (win probability 31% → 82% for the home side).
- Shot 43.1% eFG vs a 51.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | H1 10:46 | 61% → 22% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | H2 9:18 | 31% → 82% |