Wisconsin Badgers 91, Illinois Fighting Illini 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-13 · Winner: Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 91–88 on 2026-03-13 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 12:33 swung win probability 45% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois Fighting Illini lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers | 30 | 48 | 13 | 91 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 36 | 42 | 10 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 12:33 swung win probability 45% → 83%.
Why Illinois Fighting Illini lost
- Lost H2 42-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 5:35 (win probability 96% → 72% for the home side).
- Outscored 25-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 12–0 | H1 12:33 | 45% → 83% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 11–0 | H1 9:14 | 75% → 96% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 12–0 | H1 5:35 | 96% → 72% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 9–0 | H2 9:10 | 99% → 87% |