Sacramento State Hornets 45, Idaho Vandals 68
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Sacramento State Hornets 68–45 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 23-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:20 swung win probability 76% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 13 | 32 | 45 |
| Idaho Vandals | 27 | 41 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:20 swung win probability 76% → 95%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost H1 13-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 13:59 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.2% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | H1 4:20 | 76% → 95% |
| Idaho Vandals | 11–0 | H2 13:59 | 98% → 100% |
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | H2 3:06 | 100% → 100% |