Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 65, Idaho State Bengals 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Idaho State Bengals
Idaho State Bengals defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 73–65 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:39 swung win probability 95% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 30 | 35 | 65 |
| Idaho State Bengals | 45 | 28 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:39 swung win probability 95% → 100%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost H1 30-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 2:39 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 48.1% eFG vs a 53.3% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals | 9–0 | H1 2:39 | 95% → 100% |
| Idaho State Bengals | 8–0 | H2 13:22 | 99% → 100% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 9–0 | H2 7:45 | 100% → 100% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 13–0 | H2 1:17 | 100% → 100% |