Providence Friars 72, St. John's Red Storm 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: St. John's Red Storm
St. John's Red Storm defeated Providence Friars 85–72 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 13-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:07 swung win probability 99% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Providence Friars lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars | 27 | 45 | 72 |
| St. John's Red Storm | 48 | 37 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 8:07 swung win probability 99% → 100%.
Why Providence Friars lost
- Lost H1 27-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 8:07 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 49.1% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm | 10–0 | H2 8:07 | 99% → 100% |
| Providence Friars | 11–0 | H2 0:24 | 100% → 100% |