Iowa State Cyclones 80, Arizona Wildcats 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-13 · Winner: Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats defeated Iowa State Cyclones 82–80 on 2026-03-13 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:16 swung win probability 20% → 70%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Iowa State Cyclones lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 43 | 37 | 80 |
| Arizona Wildcats | 37 | 45 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:16 swung win probability 20% → 70%.
Why Iowa State Cyclones lost
- Lost H2 37-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 1:34 (win probability 32% → 73% for the home side).
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones | 8–0 | H1 15:23 | 48% → 20% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 9–0 | H1 1:34 | 32% → 73% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 9–0 | H1 0:00 | 73% → 29% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 8–0 | H2 10:16 | 20% → 70% |