TCU Horned Frogs 73, Kansas Jayhawks 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas Jayhawks defeated TCU Horned Frogs 78–73 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:18 swung win probability 31% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why TCU Horned Frogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 31 | 47 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H1 4:18 swung win probability 31% → 80%.
Why TCU Horned Frogs lost
- Lost H2 39-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H1 4:18 (win probability 31% → 80% for the home side).
- Shot 46.1% eFG vs a 50.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Outscored 30-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | H1 8:38 | 65% → 31% |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 12–0 | H1 4:18 | 31% → 80% |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 8–0 | H2 17:04 | 44% → 82% |