Cincinnati Bearcats 65, UCF Knights 66
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: UCF Knights
UCF Knights defeated Cincinnati Bearcats 66–65 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 3:45 swung win probability 3% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cincinnati Bearcats lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 27 | 31 | 7 | 65 |
| UCF Knights | 26 | 32 | 8 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at OT 3:45 swung win probability 3% → 96%.
Why Cincinnati Bearcats lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at OT 3:45 (win probability 3% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 43.2% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-10.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 11–0 | H1 15:22 | 69% → 30% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 8–0 | H1 8:34 | 54% → 23% |
| UCF Knights | 12–0 | OT 3:45 | 3% → 96% |