Baylor Bears 79, Arizona State Sun Devils 83
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-10 · Winner: Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State Sun Devils defeated Baylor Bears 83–79 on 2026-03-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:14 swung win probability 65% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Baylor Bears lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 35 | 44 | 79 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 44 | 39 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 11:14 swung win probability 65% → 89%.
Why Baylor Bears lost
- Lost H1 35-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 11:14 (win probability 65% → 89% for the home side).
- Shot 47.8% eFG vs a 54.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 8–0 | H1 11:14 | 65% → 89% |
| Baylor Bears | 8–0 | H1 5:41 | 94% → 76% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 8–0 | H2 3:04 | 80% → 100% |