Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 63, Central Arkansas Bears 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Central Arkansas Bears
Central Arkansas Bears defeated Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 73–63 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:48 swung win probability 98% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| Central Arkansas Bears | 35 | 38 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 4:48 swung win probability 98% → 65%.
Why Florida Gulf Coast Eagles lost
- Lost H2 31-38 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 13:28 (win probability 64% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 42.7% eFG vs a 51.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Bears | 8–0 | H2 13:28 | 64% → 94% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | H2 4:48 | 98% → 65% |