Jacksonville Dolphins 79, Bellarmine Knights 82
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Bellarmine Knights
Bellarmine Knights defeated Jacksonville Dolphins 82–79 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 8:42 swung win probability 99% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville Dolphins lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 32 | 47 | 79 |
| Bellarmine Knights | 47 | 35 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at H2 8:42 swung win probability 99% → 40%.
Why Jacksonville Dolphins lost
- Lost H1 32-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 0:40 (win probability 86% → 99% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 10–0 | H1 0:40 | 86% → 99% |
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 16–0 | H2 8:42 | 99% → 40% |