Florida Atlantic Owls 70, North Texas Mean Green 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green defeated Florida Atlantic Owls 74–70 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:54 swung win probability 51% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Atlantic Owls lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| North Texas Mean Green | 34 | 40 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 2:54 swung win probability 51% → 86%.
Why Florida Atlantic Owls lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 2:54 (win probability 51% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 48.0% eFG vs a 52.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-5.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green | 8–0 | H1 14:00 | 39% → 69% |
| North Texas Mean Green | 9–0 | H1 2:54 | 51% → 86% |