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New Hampshire Wildcats 69, UMBC Retrievers 84

NCAA Men's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers defeated New Hampshire Wildcats 84–69 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 15-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 0:08 swung win probability 98% → 77%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Hampshire Wildcats lost.

Linescore

H1H2Final
New Hampshire Wildcats303969
UMBC Retrievers345084

Win probability

UMBC Retrievers win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (UMBC Retrievers) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at H1 0:08 swung win probability 98% → 77%.
Why New Hampshire Wildcats lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
UMBC Retrievers8–0H1 17:2969% → 89%
UMBC Retrievers8–0H1 11:3881% → 96%
New Hampshire Wildcats12–0H1 0:0898% → 77%
UMBC Retrievers11–0H2 11:3879% → 100%

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