Virginia Cavaliers 70, Duke Blue Devils 74
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-14 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Virginia Cavaliers 74–70 on 2026-03-14 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 14:40 swung win probability 75% → 39%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 38 | 36 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at H1 14:40 swung win probability 75% → 39%.
Why Virginia Cavaliers lost
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-10.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 10–0 | H1 14:40 | 75% → 39% |