Florida State Seminoles 79, Duke Blue Devils 80
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Florida State Seminoles 80–79 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 7:59 swung win probability 35% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 44 | 35 | 79 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 43 | 37 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at H2 7:59 swung win probability 35% → 98%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 7:59 (win probability 35% → 98% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 10–0 | H1 13:29 | 81% → 46% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 12–0 | H2 7:59 | 35% → 98% |