Louisville Cardinals 73, Miami Hurricanes 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Miami Hurricanes
Miami Hurricanes defeated Louisville Cardinals 78–73 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 17:23 swung win probability 48% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisville Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| Miami Hurricanes | 37 | 41 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 17:23 swung win probability 48% → 90%.
Why Louisville Cardinals lost
- Lost H2 35-41 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 17:23 (win probability 48% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-8.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | H1 10:55 | 72% → 33% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 10–0 | H2 17:23 | 48% → 90% |