NC State Wolfpack 74, Virginia Cavaliers 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated NC State Wolfpack 81–74 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 11:47 swung win probability 63% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why NC State Wolfpack lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State Wolfpack | 32 | 42 | 74 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 33 | 48 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H2 11:47 swung win probability 63% → 97%.
Why NC State Wolfpack lost
- Lost H2 42-48 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H2 11:47 (win probability 63% → 97% for the home side).
- Shot 46.5% eFG vs a 55.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | H2 11:47 | 63% → 97% |