SMU Mustangs 58, Louisville Cardinals 62
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-11 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated SMU Mustangs 62–58 on 2026-03-11 in NCAA Men's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:25 swung win probability 83% → 48%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 26 | 36 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 19:25 swung win probability 83% → 48%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Shot 50.9% eFG vs a 55.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Outscored 14-1 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | H2 19:25 | 83% → 48% |