Syracuse Orange 69, SMU Mustangs 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-03-10 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated Syracuse Orange 86–69 on 2026-03-10 in NCAA Men's play, a 17-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 12:24 swung win probability 81% → 49%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Syracuse Orange lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 38 | 31 | 69 |
| SMU Mustangs | 39 | 47 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H1 12:24 swung win probability 81% → 49%.
Why Syracuse Orange lost
- Lost H2 31-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at H2 8:41 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 11-7.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | H1 14:09 | 54% → 81% |
| Syracuse Orange | 9–0 | H1 12:24 | 81% → 49% |
| SMU Mustangs | 13–0 | H2 8:41 | 94% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 9–0 | H2 4:35 | 100% → 100% |