Buffalo Bulls 69, South Alabama Jaguars 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars defeated Buffalo Bulls 81–69 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:10 swung win probability 52% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Buffalo Bulls lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 24 | 45 | 69 |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 40 | 41 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at H1 16:10 swung win probability 52% → 81%.
Why Buffalo Bulls lost
- Lost H1 24-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at H2 14:02 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 51.6% eFG vs a 56.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-10.
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | H1 16:10 | 52% → 81% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 9–0 | H1 12:50 | 75% → 94% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 12–0 | H2 14:02 | 100% → 100% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 10–0 | H2 0:32 | 100% → 100% |