Toledo Rockets 71, James Madison Dukes 73
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: James Madison Dukes
James Madison Dukes defeated Toledo Rockets 73–71 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 2-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 48% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| James Madison Dukes | 32 | 41 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 15:12 swung win probability 48% → 94%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 15:12 (win probability 48% → 94% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 11–0 | H2 15:12 | 48% → 94% |