Bowling Green Falcons 54, Arkansas State Red Wolves 91
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves defeated Bowling Green Falcons 91–54 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 37-point result. A 21-0 home team run ending at H1 1:07 swung win probability 79% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bowling Green Falcons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | 14 | 40 | 54 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 40 | 51 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 21-0 home team run ending at H1 1:07 swung win probability 79% → 100%.
Why Bowling Green Falcons lost
- Lost H1 14-40 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 21-0 run ending at H1 1:07 (win probability 79% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 32.2% eFG vs a 53.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 21–0 | H1 1:07 | 79% → 100% |