Colorado State Rams 73, Boise State Broncos 79
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-16 · Winner: Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos defeated Colorado State Rams 79–73 on 2026-01-16 in NCAA Men's play, a 6-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 3:46 swung win probability 64% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colorado State Rams lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 30 | 43 | 73 |
| Boise State Broncos | 39 | 40 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H2 3:46 swung win probability 64% → 100%.
Why Colorado State Rams lost
- Lost H1 30-39 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H2 3:46 (win probability 64% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-11.
- Outscored 21-13 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-6.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 9–0 | H1 4:42 | 72% → 95% |
| Colorado State Rams | 8–0 | H2 9:56 | 95% → 63% |
| Boise State Broncos | 10–0 | H2 3:46 | 64% → 100% |