Illinois Fighting Illini 82, Michigan State Spartans 85
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans defeated Illinois Fighting Illini 85–82 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Men's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 14:11 swung win probability 22% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois Fighting Illini lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 39 | 32 | 11 | 82 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 35 | 36 | 14 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 14:11 swung win probability 22% → 59%.
Why Illinois Fighting Illini lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H2 14:11 (win probability 22% → 59% for the home side).
- Shot 43.7% eFG vs a 54.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 8–0 | H2 14:11 | 22% → 59% |