Southwest Mustangs 33, New Mexico State Aggies 104
NCAA Men's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Southwest Mustangs 104–33 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 71-point result. A 18-0 home team run ending at H1 9:20 swung win probability 86% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southwest Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Mustangs | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 52 | 52 | 104 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 home team run ending at H1 9:20 swung win probability 86% → 100%.
Why Southwest Mustangs lost
- Lost H2 16-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at H1 9:20 (win probability 86% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-11.
- Outscored 14-5 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 18–0 | H1 9:20 | 86% → 100% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 10–0 | H1 1:14 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 9–0 | H2 17:32 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 11–0 | H2 10:22 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 14–0 | H2 3:10 | 100% → 100% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 10–0 | H2 0:07 | 100% → 100% |