Wyoming Cowboys 58, New Mexico Lobos 78
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Wyoming Cowboys 78–58 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Men's play, a 20-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:53 swung win probability 29% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wyoming Cowboys lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowboys | 31 | 27 | 58 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 34 | 44 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at H1 1:53 swung win probability 29% → 73%.
Why Wyoming Cowboys lost
- Lost H2 27-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 1:53 (win probability 29% → 73% for the home side).
- Shot 46.2% eFG vs a 52.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | H1 1:53 | 29% → 73% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H2 18:17 | 64% → 93% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | H2 15:02 | 85% → 99% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | H2 2:25 | 100% → 100% |