Indiana State Sycamores 75, Valparaiso Beacons 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Valparaiso Beacons
Valparaiso Beacons defeated Indiana State Sycamores 76–75 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Men's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:31 swung win probability 96% → 43%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Indiana State Sycamores lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana State Sycamores | 43 | 32 | 75 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 49 | 27 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 4:31 swung win probability 96% → 43%.
Why Indiana State Sycamores lost
- Lost H1 43-49 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 8:17 (win probability 61% → 87% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-9.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 8–0 | H1 8:17 | 61% → 87% |
| Indiana State Sycamores | 9–0 | H2 4:31 | 96% → 43% |