Valparaiso Beacons 64, Illinois State Redbirds 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Valparaiso Beacons 86–64 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Men's play, a 22-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 17:06 swung win probability 26% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 34 | 52 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 17:06 swung win probability 26% → 69%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost H2 30-52 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at H2 4:59 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.9% eFG vs a 48.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H2 17:06 | 26% → 69% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H2 10:35 | 57% → 95% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 14–0 | H2 4:59 | 94% → 100% |