Valparaiso Beacons 81, Drake Bulldogs 76
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Valparaiso Beacons
Valparaiso Beacons defeated Drake Bulldogs 81–76 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 17:42 swung win probability 81% → 42%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Drake Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| Drake Bulldogs | 40 | 36 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at H2 17:42 swung win probability 81% → 42%.
Why Drake Bulldogs lost
- Lost H2 36-43 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 16:09 (win probability 66% → 32% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 9–0 | H1 16:09 | 66% → 32% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 8–0 | H2 17:42 | 81% → 42% |