Illinois State Redbirds 80, Evansville Purple Aces 88
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Evansville Purple Aces
Evansville Purple Aces defeated Illinois State Redbirds 88–80 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Men's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:18 swung win probability 79% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 32 | 48 | 80 |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 45 | 43 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H1 4:18 swung win probability 79% → 96%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost H1 32-45 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at H1 4:18 (win probability 79% → 96% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville Purple Aces | 8–0 | H1 4:18 | 79% → 96% |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 8–0 | H2 17:51 | 95% → 100% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 13–0 | H2 0:52 | 100% → 100% |