Drake Bulldogs 76, Illinois State Redbirds 86
NCAA Men's · 2026-02-06 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Drake Bulldogs 86–76 on 2026-02-06 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:13 swung win probability 79% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Drake Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Bulldogs | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 47 | 39 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H1 8:13 swung win probability 79% → 98%.
Why Drake Bulldogs lost
- Lost H1 32-47 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H1 8:13 (win probability 79% → 98% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 11–0 | H1 8:13 | 79% → 98% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 8–0 | H2 14:59 | 99% → 92% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | H2 11:53 | 94% → 100% |