Illinois State Redbirds 70, Murray State Racers 65
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Murray State Racers 70–65 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 9:14 swung win probability 57% → 6%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Murray State Racers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| Murray State Racers | 29 | 36 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at H2 9:14 swung win probability 57% → 6%.
Why Murray State Racers lost
- Lost H1 29-35 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at H1 2:54 (win probability 60% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 41.7% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 9–0 | H1 2:54 | 60% → 20% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 9–0 | H2 9:14 | 57% → 6% |