Murray State Racers 76, Northern Iowa Panthers 81
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Northern Iowa Panthers
Northern Iowa Panthers defeated Murray State Racers 81–76 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:54 swung win probability 34% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Murray State Racers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 37 | 44 | 81 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at H2 10:54 swung win probability 34% → 81%.
Why Murray State Racers lost
- Lost H2 38-44 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at H1 11:33 (win probability 62% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 47.6% eFG vs a 53.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 10–0 | H1 11:33 | 62% → 90% |
| Murray State Racers | 10–0 | H1 0:12 | 91% → 54% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 8–0 | H2 10:54 | 34% → 81% |