Northern Iowa Panthers 54, Illinois State Redbirds 59
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 59–54 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Men's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 15:16 swung win probability 69% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 16 | 38 | 54 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 24 | 35 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 15:16 swung win probability 69% → 98%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Lost H1 16-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 15:16 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 37.7% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 11–0 | H2 15:16 | 69% → 98% |