Northern Iowa Panthers 44, Valparaiso Beacons 54
NCAA Men's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Valparaiso Beacons
Valparaiso Beacons defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 54–44 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Men's play, a 10-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 0:27 swung win probability 43% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| H1 | H2 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 22 | 32 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at H2 0:27 swung win probability 43% → 100%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Lost H2 26-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at H2 0:27 (win probability 43% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.8% eFG vs a 54.4% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 15-2 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 10–0 | H1 7:54 | 58% → 90% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 9–0 | H1 3:14 | 90% → 60% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 9–0 | H2 17:29 | 84% → 42% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 11–0 | H2 0:27 | 43% → 100% |